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It's gonna blow hard tonight

A wrapped up low will spin into town this afternoon and peak in intensity this evening. Wind will be the big story.

The strongest gusts are expected Monday evening and night. Gusts of at least 50 MPH are expected near and along the coast. The potential is there for gusts to 60 MPH, especially for the Midcoast and Downeast coasts.

We have the benefit of no leaves on the trees now, so we can handle gusts to 50 MPH better than we could a month or two ago. Gusts of this level lead to scattered outages. However, if gusts do push up closer to 60 MPH, outages would become widespread. So, power outages are expected. It's just a matter of how many.

Most of the state will end up in the 1.5" to 3" range in total rain, with a little less in the western mountains and New Hampshire. A second surge of heavy rain will hit eastern Maine Tuesday, and that will likely push rain totals in Hancock and Washington county to between 3" and 5" in spots. This will be great for the drought, but if it falls in too short of a time frame some drainage flooding is possible.

Tides are not of note, but some minor splash over or beach erosion will be possible during the high tide cycles late Monday night and Tuesday morning.